There is a good agreement for the track forecast. The system is expected to stay off the west coast of india. From this weekend, futur Kyarr should to track towards westward and begin crossing the Arabian Sea from East to West and get closer to the Arabian Peninsula next week.
- IMD - Image INSAT3D
However, the global models diverge for the the intensity. Two scenarios are opposed, with euro models (IFS & Ukmo) which are very aggressive and US model (GFS) which is not expected a major cyclone. This difference is normal to the extent that for the moment it is a system still in a phase of cyclogenesis.
PR