September 01, 2019 : 13 UTC - The powerful and violent hurricane DORIAN hit the northern Bahamas. Wind gusts in the eye wall is estimated to 160 kt.. The impact is going to be terrifying for Abaco soon and Grand Bahama Island.
This slow down is unfavorable for the Bahamas but a good news for Florida. The probability of a radical change of track before landfall over the peninsula increases. The ridge that is currently forcing westward will collapse, leaving an opening to the north. The latest NHC forecast suggest a mort northward track, that reducing the risk of a direct impact.
However, these forecasts are to be taken with caution. The eastern shores of the peninsula are still in the area of uncertainty. The latest NHC forecast suggests that DORIAN move along east coast of the peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. At this time, landfall is not totally excluded, and the center of the cyclone can passed near the coast and produce hurricanes conditions.
PR
Source: NHC
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