Current track trends are unfavorable for the Arabian Peninsula. Members of European models guidance IFS, UKMO and American GFS, agree on a scenario landing the system on the southern coast of Oman or southeast Yemen in early weekend.
The environmental conditions are favorable to allow the intensification of future MEKUNU, with a sea surface temperature of 30 to 31 ° C, low wind shear and a good divergence supported by severals outflow as well polar side as equatorial side.

Intensity forecast valid for 22/05/2018 to 0300utc ©IMD
According RSMC of New Delhi, very severe cyclonic tropical storm stage could be reached within the next 48 hours. The evolution of the system will therefore be closely monitored over the next few days, first of all for Socotra Island and later for Oman and Yemen.
PR