IFS and GFS models ensemblist of today at 0z, suggest a system having the potential to become a major cyclone during its evolution inside the Gulf. Regarding the track, a westward to west northwestward at first seems the option chosen. Subsequently, the synoptic situation and the evolution of the intensity of the possible future system could lead to a change of track more Northward.

Be careful, this scenario is to be taken with hindsight. These simulations can change significantly. The last failed cyclogenesis is a reminder. In the meantime, the situation will be closely monitored over the next few days in Bay of Bengal.
PR