The trajectory philosophy is well established. A northward to northeastward track is expected, under the effect of a ridge to the east and northwest of the system. On this track, a threat is emerging for West Bengal or Bangladesh for Wednesday. A landfall at a high intensity in the middle of next week is suggested.
It's too early to have a precise idea of the area that will be directly impacted. But due to the threat, alerts are going on :
Pre-Cyclone Watch (First level of alert 3): Odisha Coast
Cyclone Alert (Second level of alert 3): West Bengal Coast
Signal n ° IV (on XI) for the Ports of: Chattogram, Cox's Bazar, Mongla and Payra