18 May 2020: 07 UTC
As expected, Amphan has become a powerful and dangerous tropical cyclone inside Bay of Bengal. Intensity and track forecast is particulary disturbing for the North East India or Bangladesh, with a potentially devastating impact.
Amphan has become a powerful and dangerous cyclone
As expected for several days, cyclone season of the North Indian Ocean begins strong! Amphan, the first named system of the season, has become a powerful and dangerous tropical cyclone. The satellite pattern of the cyclone is particularly impressive. The core is perfectly symmetrical with a well defined eye in the center. This is a monster !
Indian Ocean and Amphan
Automatic intensity analysis systems confirm the virulent nature of Amphan. ADT and the consensus satellite (SATCON) both give 127 kt at the time of writing. This corresponds to a Major Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Amphan should still gain in intensity and become a real bomb in the Bay of Bengal.
Potentially catastrophic impact
Track forecast leaves no doubt about an impact to come. This powerful cyclone should landfall on the coasts of West Bengal or on the coasts of Bangladesh at a high intensity, probably Wednesday. The timing and landing area remains to be determined, but we cannot exclude that the megalopolis Kolkata and its 4 million inhabitants are impacted.
Faced with the extreme threat, coastal regions of Oridisha and West Bengal issued Cyclone Warning (Orange Alert). This is the third level of alert, issued 24 hours before the start of the deterioration of weather conditions. At this point, a direct impact is very likely.
One year after Fani
Related posts
In Cyclone
Tropical cyclone Tauktae: inevitable impact tonight on Gujarat
Tropical Cyclone Tauktae in Arabian Sea will landfall over indian coast of Gujarat evening. The impact area is expected between Porbandar and Mahuva.
In Cyclone
Context becoming favorable for cyclogenesis in Northern Indian Ocean
Mid-term forecasts suggest an increased risk of cyclogenesis in southeastern Arabian Sea at the end of the week or early next week.
In Cyclone
Maximum alert for the West Indian coasts hit by Nisarga
03 June 2020: 05 UTC
The coastal regions of western India will be directly impacted by Nisarga. The landfall point should be located south of Mumbai (Bombay). This is only the third direct impact for Maharashtra since 1891.
In Cyclone
Megacity of Mumbai under the threat of a possible tropical storm
02 June 2020: 05 UTC
A tropical storm could emerge in Arabian Sea in the coming hours. The system would pose a potential threat to the west coasts of the Indian peninsula. A landfall near the megacity Mumbai (Bombay) is expected.
Add a comment